4 edition of CIA assessments of the Soviet Union found in the catalog.
CIA assessments of the Soviet Union
1996 by Center for the Study of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency in [Washington, D.C.] .
Written in English
|Statement||by Douglas J. MacEachin|
|Series||An intelligence monograph, Intelligence monograph (Center for the Study of Intelligence (U.S.))|
|Contributions||Center for the Study of Intelligence (U.S.)|
|The Physical Object|
|Pagination||v, 41 p.|
|Number of Pages||41|
Prados's excellent bibliography, the most comprehensive I have seen, lists hundreds of items. The Viet Minh has clearly indicated that its objective is to drive the French from Indochina at the earliest possible date. Shortly after that detection, the National Security Council asked the Director of Central Intelligence to prepare a paper that started with the assumption that a nuclear event had occurred and then examined who might be responsible. During a speech on January 31 at Stanford University, the U. It also provides an executive summary of its results -- all of which were based on examining scenarios involving production of plutonium.
The problems that can be mitigated by more careful presentation are illustrated in the CIA document listed as reference 32, The Soviet Economy in a Global Perspective March It also stated that under some circumstances, probably the existence of a covert enrichment facility, "North Korea might already have a nuclear device. If the Iraqis were trying to develop a gas centrifuge, it probably was based on the designs of Austro-German physicist Gernot Zippe rather than the one developed by the University of Virginia's Jesse Beams and the walls of the aluminum tubes were too thick to be used for the Zippe model. The Soviets constructed review platforms, visitors' areas, and parade fields for the withdrawal so it could be as visible and easily verifiable as possible. These advances ultimately brought significant successes in discerning Soviet scientific and technical capabilities, especially with respect to advanced offensive and defensive weapons Richelson, Spying on the Bomb, pp.
The Intelligence Community believes their area of greatest interest will be Southeast Asia, although they probably will not insert Chinese Communist regular troops. The presentational flaws identified by the HPSCI group may well be more weighty than the methodological shortcomings in the CIA estimates, a conclusion also implicit in the Schroeder and Becker studies: The HPSCI report concluded that the CIA practice of expressing its estimate of the Soviet-US GNP ratio as a single-valued geometric average of separate ruble and dollar estimates opened the door wide for misinterpretation, if not misrepresentation. In a televised speech, he announced sanctions on the Soviet Union, promised renewed aid to Pakistan, and committed the U. The purpose built ship, the Glomar Explorer, employed a custom designed "capture vehicle" to grasp the submarine. Seeing no regular pattern to nuclear proliferation activities, the authors believed that South Africa would not be as compliant as Taiwan had been and even Taiwan resisted U.
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Soviet Union [ edit ] Authorization of covert action[ edit ] A request for additional funding for covert action reviewed prior covert action in the Soviet Union.
The Soviets depend on these. They reached CIA assessments of the Soviet Union book conclusion based on the assumption that North Korea could only invade South Korea with the help of the Soviet Union, and there appeared to be no sign of such assistance.
So many of us got so much wrong through the years of fear. Gorbachev needed to end it because the cost of defence, rising blindly as the army ordered more and more missiles, was bankrupting the Soviet Union.
Because time moves on, it doesn't mean that closed minds do the same. Two sections withheld in their entirety from the version focused on the possibility that the event was either a secret Israeli or a joint Israeli-South African test.
No: Hoffman's magisterial, human, vividly readable account of a remarkable time doesn't stop in CIA assessments of the Soviet Union book York: Dial Press, The Iraq Survey Group later gathered evidence suggesting that the Energy Department's explanation of the aluminum tubes was correct.
Two generations distance us from the postwar age of constant apprehension. If this is so, it may portend a new and stiffer policy towards the West as well as the Satellites. Before Livermore Lab's Special Projects office became the "Z" Division, sometime after the May Indian "peaceful nuclear explosion" it established a Proliferation Group to apply all-sources intelligence to the latest developments.
The DIA view is expressed in a article Document 15A in its Military Intelligence Digest -- which stated that "alternative uses for these tubes are possible, such as rocket motor cases or rocket launch tubes, [but] the specifications are consistent with earlier Iraqi gas centrifuge rotor designs.
However, most of the withheld information -- including analysis of whether Israel, South Africa or both were behind the event -- was declassified by the CIA years ago.
The report addressed the classic problem of increasing performance while reducing costs. See document 3 for the image in context, at page We saw a bemused ex-actor peddling conservative bromides.
Intelligence reports produced by the Defense Intelligence Agency DIA and the Department of Energy DOE shed light on a key claim made by the Bush administration during the lead-up to the Iraq War: that specialized aluminum tubes sought by the Iraqis would be used for gas centrifuges for producing highly enriched uranium.
Among the topics that were covered in assessments were nuclear program personnel, possible attempts to acquire uranium, and the implications of Iraq's efforts to covertly acquire aluminum tubes. Even so, the 60 percent appears in a lengthy paper devoted to describing the disastrous state of the Soviet economy, depicting it as more like a less developed economy than anything in the West and concluding that this dismal performance posed major political problems for the Soviet leadership.
Intelligence analysts and reporters have devoted great effort both to broad studies of the motivations of possible nuclear powers as well as activities at specific sites and a host of technical issues. Nevertheless, the analysts saw Kalahari as a "probable" site for underground nuclear tests, although they explored alternative explanations.May 27, · Photo: CIA.
As the Cold War built toward its peak in the s and into the s, the US Central Intelligence Agency was remarkably mild in its assessments of the strategic plans and intentions of the Soviet Union. The CIA’s National Intelligence Estimate of Sept. 19,said the Russians were not likely to introduce missiles into Cuba.
NAMING THOSE BETRAYED BY AMES The last name of Neil A. Lewis, one of the authors of "Betrayal, " a book about confessed spy Aldrich H. Ames, was incorrect in early editions in a story about Ames.
Dec 16, · Washington, D.C., December 16, – The Soviet Union assisted the United States in its effort to curb South Africa's nuclear program in August when Soviet General Secretary Leonid Brezhnev sent President Jimmy Carter a message that Moscow's spy satellites had noticed signs of nuclear weapons test preparations at a site in the Kalahari Desert.CIA assessments of the Soviet Union: The record versus the charges: an intelligence monograph [Douglas J.
MacEachin] on magicechomusic.com *FREE* shipping on qualifying offers.Officially yes. But, the CIA has several “levels” of information and disinformation.
After all, that is their job. Note that, before the actual breakup, the true “movers and shakers” in the financial services industry (e.g.
Goldman Sachs; also Wel.CIA assessments of the Soviet Union: The record versus the charges: an intelligence monograph [Douglas J.
MacEachin] on magicechomusic.com *FREE* shipping on qualifying offers.